Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.911369 4.179969 4.466642 4.796896 5.168793 5.576935 6.061920
2025-09-21 3.419603 3.781445 4.190436 4.692569 5.300482 6.023626 6.966422
2025-09-28 3.139918 3.546967 4.024153 4.635203 5.412951 6.393939 7.767855
2025-10-05 2.971350 3.414724 3.950223 4.660661 5.605133 6.861245 8.744548
2025-10-12 2.859286 3.335484 3.925940 4.734745 5.854415 7.421666 9.939476
2025-10-19 2.765246 3.267883 3.905627 4.804575 6.096246 7.994481 11.262051
2025-10-26 2.669832 3.189633 3.862125 4.833761 6.276605 8.493442 12.570317
2025-11-02 2.566186 3.092817 3.785014 4.805731 6.364138 8.852757 13.712295
2025-11-09 2.437065 2.954534 3.641990 4.669944 6.269950 8.896012 14.255448
2025-11-16 2.336364 2.849218 3.537913 4.582430 6.240875 9.042466 15.040913
2025-11-23 2.284574 2.807378 3.519313 4.619389 6.413041 9.564772 16.788991
2025-11-30 2.228443 2.756451 3.484233 4.627340 6.535863 10.012663 18.520527
2025-12-07 2.124741 2.638593 3.352068 4.483947 6.401626 9.975547 19.103659
2025-12-14 2.041852 2.547381 3.255344 4.391779 6.351131 10.104958 20.221367
2025-12-21 1.976886 2.478519 3.187514 4.340203 6.366013 10.368825 21.851321
2025-12-28 1.936722 2.443082 3.167023 4.363076 6.517272 10.949558 24.807964
2026-01-04 1.910545 2.426357 3.173236 4.429587 6.756499 11.777104 29.266918
2026-01-11 1.884992 2.409188 3.177412 4.492215 6.994961 12.660838 34.874479
2026-01-18 1.852370 2.380114 3.161410 4.518372 7.163181 13.412631 40.873607
2026-01-25 1.810057 2.334991 3.118047 4.493251 7.222666 13.893029 46.171836
2026-02-01 1.748584 2.259277 3.023412 4.371414 7.066665 13.745980 47.449701
2026-02-08 1.699682 2.201121 2.954712 4.292767 6.997052 13.837820 50.636455
2026-02-15 1.677389 2.182374 2.948120 4.325994 7.173624 14.697803 61.527945